Tennis Betting Strategy – Lay the First Set Winner

Tennis Betting Strategy – Lay the First Set Winner

Tennis Betting Strategy – Lay the First Set Winner
Autor betsonly 23 May 2018

One of the most interesting tennis betting strategies is betting that a famous or top-ranked player will lose the first set against a lower ranked player.

Although there are many types of bet that can be placed on tennis match, one of the most interesting is laying the first set winner that is betting that a famous or top-ranked player will lose the first set against a lower ranked or little-known opponent.

As a tennis betting strategy, this is not as unlikely an occurrence as it may first appear, especially when it comes to a Grand Slam or Masters 1000 event, and offers more attractive odds than just betting on the favourite to win. It is, in fact, a common occurrence for ranked and seeded players to lose the first set in a match, particularly in the early rounds of a tournament, and still go on to claim final victory.

There are very solid reasons for this. First of all, it should be noted that the standard of all elite players is high, so it is by no means an unlikelihood that a lower ranked player could perform better against a seed in the early part of a match.

Then there is the issue of preparation. A top ranked player is likely to have arrived at the tournament, having played somewhere else in the world the previous week, on a different surface, time zone and climate. If they went deep into their last tournament, they would have had very little time to acclimatise to the conditions before their first match, and this makes them vulnerable, particularly in the first set. Their opponent, on the other hand, would have had the opportunity to train locally for days beforehand, and will be well used to the conditions and surface. In addition, if it is a Grand Slam or similarly prestigious tournament, they may have had to play several qualifying rounds just to get into the tournament, so their confidence will be buoyed by having several victories behind them.

The surface can also be a leveller, particularly if the lower-ranked player specialises on it. A good example can be seen when a clay court specialist tries to adapt to the much faster conditions of the grass of Wimbledon, or vice versa. Experience of playing on a particular surface can offset a difference or technique.

Finally, and not least, there is the issue of complacency. A top-ranked player will be expecting to beat their opponent and may not go into the match in the right frame of mind. For their opponent, however, it is a chance to make a name for themselves, earn valuable prize money and rise up the rankings which, in turn, gets them invites to more tournaments. They will be on their game from the start, whilst it may take the loss of a set to jolt the favourite into action.

From a tennis betting strategy viewpoint, this offers a better possibility than just wagering, at the outset, that a favourite will win a match. This offers odds, depending on the player, of 1.35 or less. However, if you wait and place your bet after they have lost the first set, then the odds for them to win the match overall will have lengthened, and the amount that you can win will increase proportionately.

Of course, as with any tennis betting strategy, there is a risk that it may backfire. The favourite may not recover and go on to lose the match overall, but often what distinguishes the top-ranked players is their mental strength and ability to fight back and win from losing positions.